Hagel, Seely Brown, and Davison: The Shift Index
A June 2009 publication, "Measuring the forces of long-term change: The 2009 Shift Index" (pdf), by John Hagel III, John Seely Brown, and Lang Davison is featured in Seely Brown's December newsletter.
From the first two sections, here are the key ideas, which also serve as a table of contents to the publication:
As computing costs drop, the pace of innovation accelerates.
Plummeting storage costs solve one problem—and create another.
As bandwidth costs drop, the world becomes flatter and more connected.
Accelerating Internet adoption makes digital technology more accessible, increasing pressure as well as creating opportunity.
Wireless advances provide continual connectivity for knowledge exchanges Wireless.
Increasing economic freedom further intensifies competition but also enhances the ability to compete and collaborate.
Individuals are finding new ways to reach beyond the four walls of their organization to participate in diverse knowledge flows.
More diverse communication options are increasing wireless usage and significantly increasing the scalability of connections.
The rapid growth of Internet activity reflects both broader availability and richer opportunities for connection with a growing range of people and resources.
Increasing migration suggests virtual connection is not enough – people increasingly seek rich and serendipitous face to face encounters as well.
Travel volume continues to grow as virtual connectivity expands, indicating these may not be substitutes but complements.
Capital flows are an important means not just to improve efficiency but also to access pockets of innovation globally.
Workers who are passionate about their jobs are more likely to participate in knowledge flows and generate value for companies.
The recent burst of social media activity has enabled richer and more scalable ways to connect with people and build sustaining relationships that enhance knowledge flows.
